A legitimate shot at #4

by Ridiculous Matt on Dec 24, 2007 2:05 PM CST

We have a legitimate shot at the #4 pick. Not that it matters, because we'll take Long, and no one really cares for linemen in the best offensive skill position draft in five years along with Glen Dorsey, but still. It's exciting nonetheless.

The Niners win was huge. There's almost no way McFadden slips to the Pats now. That's good, good, good news.

Here's what we need.

Obviously, we want the Chiefs to win, rah-rah, go get 'em, Damon, etc.

But say we lose to the Jets...

According to this site,
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfldraftorder.html

we have a 31% chance of getting the #4 pick. It looks like it would take a miracle for us to get the #2 pick, even if we lose and St. Louis and Atlanta win.

If we somehow beat the Jets, we drop all the way to 8. That is not good. This game is actually pretty huge. It's going to mean the difference between 3 or 4 or 7 or 8.

That's a wide range. We've got a 52% chance at getting the 5 pick or better.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

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OFFENSIVE TACKLE ALL THE WAY

MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!!

by Eric on Dec 24, 2007 3:29 PM CST 0 recs

It would be interesting to see what they do

It would be interesting to see what they do with a pick that high.

If Dorsey is available would they go ahead and take him? I doubt it since they spent 2 first day picks on Defensive Linemen last year and our line is such a shambles, but our run defense has been terrible this year and Dorsey IS a monster.

But then again, there are quite a few good linemen in the draft this year. If they think they can fill their needs in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, they may not feel tied to getting a lineman in the 1st (though I still think they probably should).

I still don't think (short of McFadden or Dorsey) there is anyone worth a 3rd or 4th round pick in the draft. Long is considered the best lineman in the draft, but from what I hear, most people think he will be drafted above what he should be. I still am pretty sure we will get to trade down to pick up extra picks, which will be a good thing.

Regardless of what draft position it puts us in, I think its 1000 times more important to beat the Jets. We've GOT to win a game. Losing so bad to the Colts last year in the playoffs carried over to this season. What will going into next season with a 9 game losing streak do?

by DJ on Dec 24, 2007 4:57 PM CST 0 recs

I don't think that losing to the Colts

carried over this year. Remember we were 4-3 at one time then it all fell apart. I would like us to win but losing would not be all that bad. Also you always hear that teams want to trade down for extra picks but it almost never happens for the top five teams.

by TXroyal on Dec 25, 2007 4:12 PM CST 0 recs

You're right

"Also you always hear that teams want to trade down for extra picks but it almost never happens for the top five teams."

That's true because the higher a guy is drafted the more money he makes, and just because he's one of the better players in the draft that year doesn't mean he's worth that money.

So the Chiefs may WANT to trade down, but there may not be anyone another team sees worth trading up for.

by DJ on Dec 25, 2007 9:46 PM CST up 0 recs

So I guess

it's long or bust, right?

Not criticising Herm Edwards for anything since December '07.

by Ridiculous Matt on Dec 25, 2007 10:01 PM CST 0 recs

I really don't think we will take Long

One thing on which most of us agree is that Edwards can evaluate talent and does a better than average job of predicting whether a player will pan out at the NFL level...if we do take Long, maybe the pundits are wrong and Herm is right.

by PVChiefsfan on Dec 26, 2007 7:05 AM CST up 0 recs

Along those same lines

Well along those same lines, we may get in that position and Long is available, but the Chiefs decide to take someone else instead.

I remember when they took Tamba Hali in the 1st round, everyone thought he had been taken 10 picks too early because his speed in one of the benchmarks wasn't real high, but the Chiefs had him high on their list.

Or when they took Bowe, but we had other needs and weren't especially looking for a WR that early, but someone with so much talent was sitting there they couldn't pass them up.

So we could end up with a different lineman the personnel guys have rated higher or who Herm likes their attitude better, OR there might be a player sitting there at a different position that is just too good for the Chiefs to pass on.

As long as we can pick up 2 or 3 linemen in the early rounds that will be the foundation of our line for years to come, I'd be fine with them picking a D-Bowe type talent in another position that we aren't really thinking about.

by DJ on Dec 26, 2007 7:33 AM CST up 0 recs

I agree we have to take the best player

regardless of position. There are to many holes that need to be filled to pick a certain position just because. True you can not do anything on offense without a good line but then who throw to (second WR), who is playing corner, who is the second TE who is the DT's. I could go on but as you can see there are a lot of holes that need filling so please pick best available talent.

by TXroyal on Dec 27, 2007 4:15 PM CST up 0 recs